CLOROX CO /DE/ (CLX)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 FY26 results declined sharply due to the expected reversal of Q4 FY25 “incremental ERP shipments,” but CLX still posted small beats vs S&P Global consensus on revenue and adjusted EPS; GAAP EPS fell YoY as gross margin compressed 410 bps to 41.7% on lower volume and higher M&L costs . Versus consensus, revenue was ~$1.429B vs ~$1.398B and adjusted EPS was $0.85 vs ~$0.78 (non-GAAP) .*
- Management maintained FY26 guidance (net sales down 6%–10%, GAAP EPS $5.60–$5.95; adjusted EPS $5.95–$6.30), but reiterated performance is tracking toward the lower end given earlier order-fulfillment challenges and share pressure; ERP transition impact is still pegged at about a 7.5-pt sales headwind and ~$0.90 EPS drag in FY26 .
- CFO highlighted slightly better input-cost outlook (now +
$70M for FY26 vs +$90M prior) and a ~$40M tariff headwind; gross margin expansion is expected to be “robust” in 2H (Q3–Q4) as innovation and demand-creation spending ramp, albeit with higher trade spending in the near term . - Near-term stock catalysts: (1) execution on back-half innovation and demand plans as category growth stays muted (~0–1% U.S. retail); (2) confirmation that fill rates remain normalized and share recovers; (3) visibility on price/mix turning less negative and gross margin inflecting in 2H .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Delivered small top- and bottom-line beats vs S&P Global consensus (adjusted EPS and revenue), despite deliberate ERP-related volume headwinds .*
- Management kept FY26 guidance unchanged and signaled 2H gross margin expansion; input-cost inflation outlook improved to +~$70M with ~$20M favorability vs prior, though tariffs remain a ~$40M headwind .
- ERP rollout largely complete; fill rates are “more of a normal Clorox,” with inventories rebuilt at retailers and further value from digital tools expected (NVRM, end‑to‑end visibility, efficiency) .
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What Went Wrong
- Net sales fell 19% YoY to $1.429B as retailers drew down Q4 FY25 pre‑ERP inventory; gross margin was 41.7% (-410 bps YoY) on lower volume and higher manufacturing & logistics costs .
- Adjusted EPS declined 54% YoY to $0.85; GAAP EPS declined 19% YoY to $0.65; free cash flow fell to $57M (4.0% of sales) vs $182M (10.3%) a year ago .
- Market share was weaker than expected during the ERP ramp; promotions elevated in trash and litter; price/mix remains a headwind (~-1 pt contemplated for FY26), reflecting value-seeking and channel shifting .
Financial Results
Headline results vs prior year, prior quarter, and S&P Global consensus
- Consensus EPS and revenue values marked with an asterisk are from S&P Global; Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment performance (Net Sales and Segment Adjusted EBIT)
KPIs and cash flow
Additional profitability context
Context and drivers
- YoY sales decline was primarily ERP-related shipment reversal and volume drawdown (company estimates the ERP “reversal” equates to ~7.5 pts FY26 sales headwind and ~$0.90 EPS headwind) . Gross margin down 410 bps, driven by lower volume/mix and higher M&L costs, partly offset by cost savings .
- Price/mix was modestly negative (company cites ~-1 pt for FY26), reflecting value-seeking and channel shifts; incremental promotions in trash and litter .
Guidance Changes
Management reiterated performance is tracking toward the lower end of ranges given order-fulfillment disruption impacts earlier in the year and resulting share pressure; back-half improvement hinges on innovation and demand plans, with ERP reversal effects normalizing comps in Q4 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “This quarter’s ERP launch marks a significant milestone… empowering faster execution, greater productivity, and deeper insights… As with any rollout of this scale, we experienced some temporary disruptions that affected our market share.” — Linda Rendle, CEO .
- “Exclude the impact of the ERP… organic sales growth in the front half would be negative low single digits, and… in the back half would be positive low single digits.” — Luc Bellet, CFO .
- “Input costs and inflation would increase about $70 million [FY26]… about half from commodities and half from the rest of the supply chain… tariffs… about a headwind of $40 million.” — CFO .
- “We are back with retailers able to fill the orders that they need, and we have largely rebuilt inventories nearly everywhere.” — CEO .
- “We have not seen [material] destocking… [and] feel good about… finalized estimate of the ERP transitions… ~7.5 percentage points [FY26 sales headwind].” — CFO .
- “Private label… we are watching [Brita filters]… and bleach… Cleaning portfolio is doing very, very well… we are seeing that bounce back.” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Organic sales cadence: Ex‑ERP, front-half organic sales down low‑single digits, back half up low‑single digits; Q2 expected low‑single digit decline as U.S. consumption trends continue and ~1 pt headwind from early shipments timing .
- Gross margin and costs: FY26 input-cost inflation now +~$70M (improved ~$20M vs July); tariffs ~$40M headwind; additional Q1 expenses for ERP demand‑fulfillment; expect robust GM expansion in Q3–Q4 despite higher trade/A&P in support of innovation .
- Promotions/price-pack: Promotional activity elevated in trash/litter but “rational”; CLX leaning into price‑pack architecture to meet value tiers across categories (e.g., Brita, litter, food) .
- Market share/fill rates: Share losses larger than expected during ERP ramp (not satisfactory), but fill rates have normalized and management expects share to recover with 2H innovation/demand plans .
- Run‑rate EPS concept: CFO reiterated the ~$0.90 FY26 EPS drag from ERP timing should be added back to the base as comps normalize in FY27; achieving high end of FY26 organic range requires all assumptions to hit (category, innovation, execution, no new external shocks) .
Estimates Context
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Versus S&P Global consensus: Q1 FY26 revenue $1.429B vs ~$1.398B (+~2.2% beat); adjusted EPS $0.85 vs ~$0.78 (+~9% beat). GAAP EPS was $0.65, but Street typically tracks adjusted EPS for consumer staples .*
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Forward look (S&P Global): Q2 FY26 consensus revenue ~$1.641B and EPS ~$1.45; company indicates front-half ex‑ERP down low‑single digits, suggesting cautious near-term setup with emphasis on 2H improvement .*
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Implications: Given guidance reaffirmed toward the low end and price/mix headwinds (~-1 pt), Street may need to calibrate 2H GM expansion assumptions vs higher trade/A&P support; but improved input-cost outlook provides partial offset .
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Consensus values marked with an asterisk are from S&P Global; Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q1 was the expected ERP hangover quarter: sales -19% YoY, GM -410 bps; however, small beats vs S&P Global consensus on revenue and adjusted EPS suggest the reset is tracking to plan .*
- FY26 guide unchanged but tilted to the low end; 2H gross margin expansion is the crux as CLX leans into innovation and demand creation, with normalized fill rates and ERP efficiencies aiding execution .
- Cost outlook improved (+
$70M inflation vs +$90M prior) but tariffs ($40M) and price/mix (-1 pt) keep pressure on 1H; watch if price pack architecture and NRM can stabilize mix while preserving brand equity . - Segment risk/recovery: Trash and litter remain promo‑intense; Cleaning and Professional should benefit as in‑stocks stabilize; monitor Brita filters and bleach for private‑label trade‑down and response .
- Cash discipline: FCF compressed this quarter on volume and ERP dynamics; trajectory should improve with 2H margin lift; dividend maintained at $1.24/share (next payable Feb 13, 2026) .
- Setup into Q2: Management expects low‑single digit decline (ex‑ERP lens) and muted category growth (~0–1%); stock likely to trade on evidence of share recapture, pricing/mix stabilization, and signs of 2H GM inflection .
- FY27 run‑rate: The ~$0.90 EPS drag from FY26 ERP timing should normalize, providing a mechanical uplift to base earnings if execution stays on track .
Appendix: Selected Detail
Gross margin bridge (bps) vs prior year shows -410 bps in Q1 FY26: cost savings +140, price +20, market movement -30, M&L -180, “all other” (including lower volumes) -360 .
Dividend declaration: $1.24/share, payable Feb 13, 2026, to holders of record Jan 28, 2026 .
ERP timing impact: ~7.5 pts FY26 sales headwind vs FY25 base; ~$(0.90) FY26 EPS impact; reversal of Q4 FY25 incremental shipments that delivered ~13–14 pts to that quarter and ~$0.85–$0.95 to FY25 EPS .
Footnote on Consensus: All consensus figures marked with an asterisk are from S&P Global; Values retrieved from S&P Global.